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Peak day changed
Old 04-06-2020, 05:57 AM
  #1

Check your state for the updates. NC has been moved up to April 13.

This website gives a state by state breakdown. Use the drop down menu.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/proje...FaG8IHwNAsQ_0Y


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Thank you!
Old 04-06-2020, 06:59 AM
  #2

This was very helpful. NJ is April 15 according to this model. I cancelled two doctor's appointments that had been scheduled for next week. It was for routine bloodwork, and even before seeing this, there was no way I was entering a medical office for a non-emergency visit. They were unable to reschedule till July, so I am just going to go in August as I had originally planned for my next one. My county in NJ is number one for cases, so I have been limiting my movements to walking the dog (keeping socially distant, of course) and grocery shopping every two weeks. Thank you for sharing.
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:11 AM
  #3

Woo hoo! Our Peak Day was moved up an entire month. It also says we should have enough hospital beds, though still short of ICU space and ventilators. The number of predicted fatalities is way down too. Yay us!
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:43 AM
  #4

I am convinced no one knows when anyone will peak. Iíve heard five different dates for my state and neighboring states the past few days. Thank you for the link.
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Old 04-06-2020, 07:55 AM
  #5

Very interesting! Thank you so much!


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states
Old 04-06-2020, 08:03 AM
  #6

Thank you!
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Old 04-06-2020, 08:06 AM
  #7

Just remember that we are not immediately out of the woods once we have peaked, though it will be good to see that hospitals will not be as overwhelmed. The site recommends that the US shelter in place until the end of May.
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Old 04-06-2020, 09:11 AM
  #8

Very interesting information. I'm happy to see that Washington (where DS and family live) has already peaked. But I hope people realize that just means they're on the backside of the mountain, not that they're on flat land. If people start getting complacent that curve's going to go right back up.
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Old 04-06-2020, 09:48 AM
  #9

Quote:
'm happy to see that Washington (where DS and family live) has already peaked. But I hope people realize that just means they're on the backside of the mountain, not that they're on flat land. If people start getting complacent that curve's going to go right back up.
This right here! I'm concerned that people are looking for the "peak" as a sign that they can go out and about normally now. It just means that *if we maintain all the distancing protocols,* we won't see aggressive increases in cases.
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Old 04-06-2020, 10:12 AM
  #10

Thank you for these projections. I hope the projections prove true.

I agree with the posters who remind us to stay vigilant and stay home.

Thank you for explaining to use the drop-down menu.


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Old 04-06-2020, 10:15 AM
  #11

Thanks for the site- it seems that it wonít be too bad in my state. Summer may actually be okay
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Old 04-06-2020, 01:46 PM
  #12

It looks like Washington State has reached the peak already, as others have mentioned, but the number of infections and deaths continues at an alarming rate. There is some talk that schools will be closed for the rest of the school year. I'm not loving distance learning, but feel safer at home.
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Old 04-06-2020, 03:12 PM
  #13

Someone shared this on my neighborhood FB page. I desperately want to believe it is true as it says our peak was 2 days ago, but a lot of people on that page were saying many other models look completely different than this. I do know our governor has been watching the person to person spread (there is some word for the number of additional people each infected person infects, and now I can't remember it) and that had gone down in recent weeks. However, they've also said based on some of the national models that we're becoming a hotspot, and that doesn't track with the worst being already behind us as things haven't been "that bad" (compared to other places like NY- as of right now we've had enough ventilators, ICU beds, etc. for people who need them) yet. They also closed schools for the year based on the projections just a couple of days ago, and also put out some sort of "crisis protocol" that says how ventilator decisions are being made if/when we run out. If this is true we could be looking at "normal" by the start of summer. I so want to believe it is true.
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